- Rank:
- #1 is the least-bad buy right now among games with reliable numbers. Every ticket loses money on average; lower ranks lose more.
- Back per $1:
- 77% means that, on average, every $1 you spend comes back as about 77¢ in prizes, so you lose about 23¢. We count prizes at their cash value and only as many jackpots as sales suggest are still unsold.
- Expected value (EV):
- The average prize one ticket is worth right now, on that same cash basis. On a $10 ticket with an EV of $8.50, you lose $1.50 on average.
- Net:
- EV minus the ticket price: what you gain or (almost always) lose per ticket, on average.
- Any prize:
- 1 in 3.5 means about one in every 3.5 tickets wins something. Often that’s just your money back.
- Top prize chance:
- How many of the biggest prizes haven’t been claimed yet and the odds on your next ticket (“2 of 3 left · 1 in 1.55M”).
- Up to X%:
- The figure if every listed jackpot is truly unsold and paid at face value. It’s the optimistic ceiling, not what to expect.
- Cash value:
- Top prizes paid over time count at the cash amount the Arizona Lottery lists for them, 50% to 56% of the headline (a $5 million prize paid over 30 years is listed as $2.75 million). The final lump sum is set when the prize is claimed. Where the Lottery lists no cash amount, we use a conservative 50%.
- Ties:
- Games within about 1 point of each other are basically tied; the estimates aren’t that precise.
- Warnings:
- Each card shows at most one warning chip, the most important. Tap it to see every caution for that game.
- % sold:
- Our estimate of how much of the game is already gone. Games 90% or more sold are hidden from the ranking by default because their numbers are unreliable; you can reveal them below the list.