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Arizona scratch tickets, ranked by expected value

Every Arizona Lottery scratch ticket still on sale, from least bad to worst: what an average ticket pays back per $1 right now, based on the prizes the Lottery says are still out there.

Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 2:35 PM MST from Arizona Lottery. Estimates; may be delayed or wrong.

Every one of these loses money on average. The typical game on sale gives back about 68.2% of what you spend, so you lose roughly 32¢ per $1. 21+. Help: call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXTSTEP to 53342; national helpline 1-800-GAMBLER.

How to read this

Rank:
#1 is the least-bad buy right now among games with reliable numbers. Every ticket loses money on average; lower ranks lose more.
Back per $1:
77% means that, on average, every $1 you spend comes back as about 77¢ in prizes, so you lose about 23¢. We count prizes at their cash value and only as many jackpots as sales suggest are still unsold.
Expected value (EV):
The average prize one ticket is worth right now, on that same cash basis. On a $10 ticket with an EV of $8.50, you lose $1.50 on average.
Net:
EV minus the ticket price: what you gain or (almost always) lose per ticket, on average.
Any prize:
1 in 3.5 means about one in every 3.5 tickets wins something. Often that’s just your money back.
Top prize chance:
How many of the biggest prizes haven’t been claimed yet and the odds on your next ticket (“2 of 3 left · 1 in 1.55M”).
Up to X%:
The figure if every listed jackpot is truly unsold and paid at face value. It’s the optimistic ceiling, not what to expect.
Cash value:
Top prizes paid over time count at the cash amount the Arizona Lottery lists for them, 50% to 56% of the headline (a $5 million prize paid over 30 years is listed as $2.75 million). The final lump sum is set when the prize is claimed. Where the Lottery lists no cash amount, we use a conservative 50%.
Ties:
Games within about 1 point of each other are basically tied; the estimates aren’t that precise.
Warnings:
Each card shows at most one warning chip, the most important. Tap it to see every caution for that game.
% sold:
Our estimate of how much of the game is already gone. Games 90% or more sold are hidden from the ranking by default because their numbers are unreliable; you can reveal them below the list.

Why some games are “over 100% on paper”. Counting every listed prize at face value can push a game past 100%, as if a ticket paid back more than it costs. It isn’t real: prizes paid over time are worth roughly half as cash, and winning tickets people haven’t cashed yet (or lost) still count as “remaining”. “Remaining” means not yet claimed. Our ranking counts cash value and caps jackpots at what sales suggest, so no ranked game comes out above 100%. Nearly sold-out games, where this is worst, are hidden by default.

Ticket price

Sort

Cash value before tax: prizes paid over time count at the Lottery’s cash option, and jackpots are capped at what sales suggest is still unsold.

Hiding 1 nearly sold-out game (90%+ sold): their numbers aren’t reliable.

#1 best value right now

$5,000,000 Luxe

Game #1480 · $50 ticket

78.2%back per $1

Expected value $39.12 per $50 ticket, counting cash value and only the jackpots sales suggest are still out there. The least bad ticket: you still lose about 22¢ per $1 on average.

Basically tied with #2 500X The Cash (78.1%): games within about 1 point of each other are too close to call.

Top prize chance: 2 of 4 $5M left · 1 in 1.26M · 52.7% sold

ⓘ Top prizes are paid over time; we count the cash option (55%: the cash amount the Arizona Lottery lists; the final lump sum is set when the prize is claimed).

Every ticket on sale, best to worst

All 59 games with reliable numbers, ranked by conservative cash value per $1. Hiding 1 nearly sold-out game. Games within about 1 point of each other are basically tied.

Back per $1 = average cents returned per $1 spent · EV = average prize one ticket is worth · Net = EV − price · what these mean

  1. #1

    $5,000,000 Luxe

    Game #1480 · $50 ticket

    Back per $1
    78.2%
    you lose ~22¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $39.12
    per $50 ticket · net −$10.88

    Top prize chance: 2 of 4 $5M left · 1 in 1.26MAny prize: 1 in 2.8352.7% sold

    ⓘ Top prizes are paid over time; we count the cash option (55%: the cash amount the Arizona Lottery lists; the final lump sum is set when the prize is claimed).

  2. #2

    500X The Cash

    Game #1523 · $50 ticket

    Back per $1
    78.1%
    you lose ~22¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $39.06
    per $50 ticket · net −$10.94

    Top prize chance: 3 of 4 $5M left · 1 in 1.28MAny prize: 1 in 2.5527.9% sold

    More jackpots listed than sales suggestWhy?
    • More big prizes are listed than sales suggest; some may be sold but not yet claimed.
    • Top prizes are paid over time; we count the cash option (55%: the cash amount the Arizona Lottery lists; the final lump sum is set when the prize is claimed).
  3. #3

    Million Dollar Crossword

    Game #1531 · $30 ticket

    Back per $1
    77.3%
    you lose ~23¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $23.20
    per $30 ticket · net −$6.80

    Top prize chance: 6 of 7 $1M left · 1 in 291,611Any prize: 1 in 2.3126.8% sold

    ⓘ Top prizes are paid over time; we count the cash option (56%: the cash amount the Arizona Lottery lists; the final lump sum is set when the prize is claimed).

  4. #4

    Show Me The Bens

    Game #1546 · $30 ticket

    Back per $1
    77.0%
    you lose ~23¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $23.09
    per $30 ticket · net −$6.91

    Top prize chance: 3 of 3 $3.5M left · 1 in 461,224Any prize: 1 in 2.767.6% sold

    Up to 90.6% if every listed jackpot is truly unsold.

    One jackpot claim: −8 ptsWhy? (+1 more)
    • One jackpot claim would drop this by about 8 points.
    • Most of this number rides on a few jackpot tickets.
    • Top prizes are paid over time; we count the cash option (50%: the cash amount the Arizona Lottery lists; the final lump sum is set when the prize is claimed).
  5. #5

    SET FOR LIFE

    Game #1401 · $50 ticket

    Back per $1
    76.2%
    you lose ~24¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $38.09
    per $50 ticket · net −$11.91

    Top prize chance: 2 of 6 $5M left · 1 in 450,902Any prize: 1 in 2.2083.1% sold

    Up to 92.7% if every listed jackpot is truly unsold.

    One jackpot claim: −11 ptsWhy? (+1 more)
    • One jackpot claim would drop this by about 11 points.
    • Most of this number rides on a few jackpot tickets.
    • Top prizes are paid over time; we count the cash option (50%: our estimate; the Arizona Lottery lists no cash amount for this game).
  6. #6

    Ultimate Riches

    Game #1502 · $30 ticket

    Back per $1
    75.7%
    you lose ~24¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $22.70
    per $30 ticket · net −$7.30

    Top prize chance: 1 of 3 $3.5M left · 1 in 754,044Any prize: 1 in 2.7764.3% sold

    One jackpot claim: −15 ptsWhy? (+1 more)
    • One jackpot claim would drop this by about 15 points.
    • Most of this number rides on a few jackpot tickets.
    • Top prizes are paid over time; we count the cash option (50%: the cash amount the Arizona Lottery lists; the final lump sum is set when the prize is claimed).
  7. #7

    Loaded CASH EXPLOSION®

    Game #1490 · $20 ticket

    Back per $1
    74.8%
    you lose ~25¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $14.96
    per $20 ticket · net −$5.04

    Top prize chance: 2 of 4 $2.5M left · 1 in 3.18MAny prize: 1 in 3.1242.5% sold

    ⓘ Top prizes are paid over time; we count the cash option (50%: the cash amount the Arizona Lottery lists; the final lump sum is set when the prize is claimed).

  8. #8

    The Perfect Gift

    Game #1563 · $20 ticket

    Back per $1
    74.2%
    you lose ~26¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $14.83
    per $20 ticket · net −$5.17

    Top prize chance: 6 of 6 $250K left · 1 in 210,919Any prize: 1 in 2.813.6% sold

    Just launched · early estimateWhy?
    • Just launched; estimates firm up after a few weeks of sales.
  9. #9

    High Roller

    Game #1544 · $20 ticket

    Back per $1
    73.3%
    you lose ~27¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $14.65
    per $20 ticket · net −$5.35

    Top prize chance: 5 of 7 $500K left · 1 in 334,859Any prize: 1 in 3.0624.1% sold

  10. #10

    200X The Cash

    Game #1522 · $20 ticket

    Back per $1
    73.1%
    you lose ~27¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $14.62
    per $20 ticket · net −$5.38

    Top prize chance: 3 of 7 $500K left · 1 in 246,601Any prize: 1 in 3.0869.1% sold

  11. #11

    Jumbo Bucks

    Game #1537 · $20 ticket

    Back per $1
    72.9%
    you lose ~27¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $14.58
    per $20 ticket · net −$5.42

    Top prize chance: 2 of 4 $1M left · 1 in 378,322Any prize: 1 in 3.1165.6% sold

    More jackpots listed than sales suggestWhy? (+1 more)
    • More big prizes are listed than sales suggest; some may be sold but not yet claimed.
    • One jackpot claim would drop this by about 7 points.
  12. #12

    Strike It Rich

    Game #1496 · $20 ticket

    Back per $1
    72.6%
    you lose ~27¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $14.53
    per $20 ticket · net −$5.47

    Top prize chance: 4 of 7 $500K left · 1 in 153,974Any prize: 1 in 3.0871.7% sold

    More jackpots listed than sales suggestWhy? (+1 more)
    • More big prizes are listed than sales suggest; some may be sold but not yet claimed.
    • Most of this number rides on a few jackpot tickets.
  13. #13

    Diamond Deluxe

    Game #1555 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    71.9%
    you lose ~28¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $7.19
    per $10 ticket · net −$2.81

    Top prize chance: 5 of 5 $100K left · 1 in 346,608Any prize: 1 in 3.480% sold

    Just launched · early estimateWhy?
    • Just launched; estimates firm up after a few weeks of sales.
  14. #14

    $100 Grand Crossword

    Game #1562 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    71.9%
    you lose ~28¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $7.19
    per $10 ticket · net −$2.81

    Top prize chance: 28 of 28 $100K left · 1 in 285,556Any prize: 1 in 3.421.2% sold

    Just launched · early estimateWhy?
    • Just launched; estimates firm up after a few weeks of sales.
  15. #15

    $50, $100 or $200

    Game #1527 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    71.4%
    you lose ~29¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $7.14
    per $10 ticket · net −$2.86

    Top prize chance: 1353 of 6687 $200 left · 1 in 315Any prize: 1 in 8.9378.8% sold

  16. #16

    $100,000 CASH

    Game #1553 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    71.4%
    you lose ~29¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $7.14
    per $10 ticket · net −$2.86

    Top prize chance: 4 of 5 $100K left · 1 in 361,857Any prize: 1 in 3.4820.6% sold

  17. #17

    Money

    Game #1489 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    71.4%
    you lose ~29¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $7.14
    per $10 ticket · net −$2.86

    Top prize chance: 5 of 7 $100K left · 1 in 161,773Any prize: 1 in 3.5062.1% sold

    More jackpots listed than sales suggestWhy?
    • More big prizes are listed than sales suggest; some may be sold but not yet claimed.
  18. #18

    Triple Red 7`s

    Game #1543 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    71.3%
    you lose ~29¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $7.13
    per $10 ticket · net −$2.87

    Top prize chance: 17 of 22 $100K left · 1 in 285,780Any prize: 1 in 3.4619.2% sold

  19. #19

    Ka Pow

    Game #1493 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    71.1%
    you lose ~29¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $7.11
    per $10 ticket · net −$2.89

    Top prize chance: 4 of 7 $100K left · 1 in 158,074Any prize: 1 in 3.5169.5% sold

    More jackpots listed than sales suggestWhy?
    • More big prizes are listed than sales suggest; some may be sold but not yet claimed.
  20. #20

    Perfect 10s

    Game #1549 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    70.9%
    you lose ~29¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $7.09
    per $10 ticket · net −$2.91

    Top prize chance: 3 of 5 $100K left · 1 in 375,253Any prize: 1 in 3.4638.3% sold

    More jackpots listed than sales suggestWhy?
    • More big prizes are listed than sales suggest; some may be sold but not yet claimed.
  21. #21

    Instant Cash

    Game #1535 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    70.8%
    you lose ~29¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $7.08
    per $10 ticket · net −$2.92

    Top prize chance: 3 of 6 $100K left · 1 in 320,846Any prize: 1 in 3.4752.1% sold

  22. #22

    $100 Grand Crossword

    Game #1514 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    70.7%
    you lose ~29¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $7.07
    per $10 ticket · net −$2.93

    Top prize chance: 4 of 23 $100K left · 1 in 264,414Any prize: 1 in 3.3884.1% sold

    More jackpots listed than sales suggestWhy?
    • More big prizes are listed than sales suggest; some may be sold but not yet claimed.
  23. #23

    $100,000 ROUTE 66®

    Game #1533 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    70.6%
    you lose ~29¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $7.06
    per $10 ticket · net −$2.94

    Top prize chance: 3 of 5 $100K left · 1 in 369,384Any prize: 1 in 3.5245% sold

    More jackpots listed than sales suggestWhy?
    • More big prizes are listed than sales suggest; some may be sold but not yet claimed.
  24. #24

    SCRABBLE Crossword Game

    Game #1541 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    70.1%
    you lose ~30¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $7.01
    per $10 ticket · net −$2.99

    Top prize chance: 4 of 6 $100K left · 1 in 308,783Any prize: 1 in 3.4438.6% sold

  25. #25

    Triple Cash Payout

    Game #1515 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    69.5%
    you lose ~31¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $6.95
    per $10 ticket · net −$3.05

    Top prize chance: 2 of 7 $100K left · 1 in 358,521Any prize: 1 in 3.5066.4% sold

  26. #26

    Money Money Money

    Game #1539 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    69.1%
    you lose ~31¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $6.91
    per $10 ticket · net −$3.09

    Top prize chance: 1 of 5 $100K left · 1 in 941,753Any prize: 1 in 3.5553.2% sold

  27. #27

    CLUE

    Game #1554 · $5 ticket

    Back per $1
    69.0%
    you lose ~31¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $3.45
    per $5 ticket · net −$1.55

    Top prize chance: 5 of 5 $50K left · 1 in 402,269Any prize: 1 in 3.520% sold

    Just launched · early estimateWhy?
    • Just launched; estimates firm up after a few weeks of sales.
  28. #28

    All Cash

    Game #1499 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    69.0%
    you lose ~31¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $6.90
    per $10 ticket · net −$3.10

    Top prize chance: 4 of 7 $100K left · 1 in 129,869Any prize: 1 in 3.6075.6% sold

  29. #29

    100X The Cash

    Game #1521 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    68.6%
    you lose ~31¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $6.86
    per $10 ticket · net −$3.14

    Top prize chance: 4 of 10 $100K left · 1 in 194,641Any prize: 1 in 3.5474.2% sold

    More jackpots listed than sales suggestWhy?
    • More big prizes are listed than sales suggest; some may be sold but not yet claimed.
  30. #30

    Triple Red 7`s

    Game #1508 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    68.2%
    you lose ~32¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $6.82
    per $10 ticket · net −$3.18

    Top prize chance: 6 of 22 $100K left · 1 in 341,273Any prize: 1 in 3.5566.1% sold

  31. #31

    Cash King

    Game #1512 · $10 ticket

    Back per $1
    68.0%
    you lose ~32¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $6.80
    per $10 ticket · net −$3.20

    Top prize chance: 1 of 6 $100K left · 1 in 526,828Any prize: 1 in 3.6075% sold

  32. #32

    State Forty Eight

    Game #1548 · $5 ticket

    Back per $1
    67.8%
    you lose ~32¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $3.39
    per $5 ticket · net −$1.61

    Top prize chance: 4 of 5 $48K left · 1 in 313,480Any prize: 1 in 3.6937.7% sold

  33. #33

    Festive $500s

    Game #1561 · $5 ticket

    Back per $1
    67.7%
    you lose ~32¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $3.38
    per $5 ticket · net −$1.62

    Top prize chance: 5 of 6 $50K left · 1 in 483,476Any prize: 1 in 3.673.9% sold

    Just launched · early estimateWhy?
    • Just launched; estimates firm up after a few weeks of sales.
  34. #34

    Loteria Grande

    Game #1545 · $5 ticket

    Back per $1
    67.6%
    you lose ~32¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $3.38
    per $5 ticket · net −$1.62

    Top prize chance: 7 of 9 $50K left · 1 in 327,200Any prize: 1 in 3.4422.6% sold

  35. #35

    Rodeo Riches Crossword

    Game #1530 · $5 ticket

    Back per $1
    66.8%
    you lose ~33¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $3.34
    per $5 ticket · net −$1.66

    Top prize chance: 14 of 24 $50K left · 1 in 330,862Any prize: 1 in 3.4942.5% sold

  36. #36

    Slingo Gems

    Game #1551 · $5 ticket

    Back per $1
    66.6%
    you lose ~33¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $3.33
    per $5 ticket · net −$1.67

    Top prize chance: 7 of 10 $50K left · 1 in 371,714Any prize: 1 in 3.4815.6% sold

  37. #37

    Coffee Break

    Game #1538 · $5 ticket

    Back per $1
    65.1%
    you lose ~35¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $3.25
    per $5 ticket · net −$1.75

    Top prize chance: 3 of 6 $50K left · 1 in 300,916Any prize: 1 in 3.7957.7% sold

  38. #38

    Celebrate

    Game #1534 · $5 ticket

    Back per $1
    64.4%
    you lose ~36¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $3.22
    per $5 ticket · net −$1.78

    Top prize chance: 1 of 3 $50K left · 1 in 551,338Any prize: 1 in 3.7966.9% sold

  39. #39

    Sunny Money

    Game #1536 · $5 ticket

    Back per $1
    64.4%
    you lose ~36¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $3.22
    per $5 ticket · net −$1.78

    Top prize chance: 2 of 6 $50K left · 1 in 314,520Any prize: 1 in 3.8370.2% sold

  40. #40

    50X The Cash

    Game #1520 · $5 ticket

    Back per $1
    63.9%
    you lose ~36¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $3.19
    per $5 ticket · net −$1.81

    Top prize chance: 1 of 10 $50K left · 1 in 863,740Any prize: 1 in 3.8175.5% sold

  41. #41

    Winter Wonders

    Game #1560 · $3 ticket

    Back per $1
    63.7%
    you lose ~36¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.91
    per $3 ticket · net −$1.09

    Top prize chance: 6 of 6 $20K left · 1 in 318,095Any prize: 1 in 3.802.6% sold

    Just launched · early estimateWhy?
    • Just launched; estimates firm up after a few weeks of sales.
  42. #42

    Tic Tac Toe Bonus

    Game #1540 · $3 ticket

    Back per $1
    62.4%
    you lose ~38¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.87
    per $3 ticket · net −$1.13

    Top prize chance: 7 of 9 $20K left · 1 in 274,975Any prize: 1 in 3.7629.7% sold

  43. #43

    Xmasaurus

    Game #1559 · $2 ticket

    Back per $1
    61.8%
    you lose ~38¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.24
    per $2 ticket · net −$0.76

    Top prize chance: 8 of 8 $10K left · 1 in 307,121Any prize: 1 in 4.122.3% sold

    More jackpots listed than sales suggestWhy? (+1 more)
    • More big prizes are listed than sales suggest; some may be sold but not yet claimed.
    • Just launched; estimates firm up after a few weeks of sales.
  44. #44

    Blazing Red Hot 7`s

    Game #1529 · $5 ticket

    Back per $1
    60.2%
    you lose ~40¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $3.01
    per $5 ticket · net −$1.99

    Top prize chance: 3 of 9 $50K left · 1 in 232,912Any prize: 1 in 3.9876.9% sold

    More jackpots listed than sales suggestWhy?
    • More big prizes are listed than sales suggest; some may be sold but not yet claimed.
  45. #45

    Red Hot 7s

    Game #1501 · $2 ticket

    Back per $1
    59.4%
    you lose ~41¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.19
    per $2 ticket · net −$0.81

    Top prize chance: 15 of 22 $7,777 left · 1 in 222,816Any prize: 1 in 4.0541.6% sold

  46. #46

    Spooky Loot

    Game #1547 · $2 ticket

    Back per $1
    59.4%
    you lose ~41¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.19
    per $2 ticket · net −$0.81

    Top prize chance: 4 of 5 $13K left · 1 in 378,533Any prize: 1 in 4.3833.2% sold

  47. #47

    Holiday Cheer

    Game #1558 · $1 ticket

    Back per $1
    59.0%
    you lose ~41¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $0.59
    per $1 ticket · net −$0.41

    Top prize chance: 69 of 71 $500 left · 1 in 57,304Any prize: 1 in 4.291.4% sold

    Just launched · early estimateWhy?
    • Just launched; estimates firm up after a few weeks of sales.
  48. #48

    Crossword

    Game #1510 · $2 ticket

    Back per $1
    57.7%
    you lose ~42¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.15
    per $2 ticket · net −$0.85

    Top prize chance: 11 of 20 $10K left · 1 in 353,464Any prize: 1 in 3.8251.5% sold

  49. #49

    20X The Cash

    Game #1519 · $2 ticket

    Back per $1
    57.6%
    you lose ~42¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.15
    per $2 ticket · net −$0.85

    Top prize chance: 2 of 7 $10K left · 1 in 491,050Any prize: 1 in 4.4668.7% sold

  50. #50

    10X The Cash

    Game #1518 · $1 ticket

    Back per $1
    57.0%
    you lose ~43¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $0.57
    per $1 ticket · net −$0.43

    Top prize chance: 8 of 14 $1,000 left · 1 in 584,296Any prize: 1 in 4.4641.9% sold

  51. #51

    Arizona Treasure Hunt

    Game #1470 · $3 ticket

    Back per $1
    56.9%
    you lose ~43¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.71
    per $3 ticket · net −$1.29

    Top prize chance: 1 of 12 $20K left · 1 in 991,740Any prize: 1 in 3.9267.8% sold

  52. #52

    Easy $100s

    Game #1528 · $2 ticket

    Back per $1
    56.8%
    you lose ~43¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.14
    per $2 ticket · net −$0.86

    Top prize chance: 1 of 5 $10K left · 1 in 896,088Any prize: 1 in 4.4362.5% sold

  53. #53

    Taco Tripler

    Game #1503 · $1 ticket

    Back per $1
    56.2%
    you lose ~44¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $0.56
    per $1 ticket · net −$0.44

    Top prize chance: 11 of 17 $900 left · 1 in 228,493Any prize: 1 in 4.4439.5% sold

  54. #54

    Rock Out

    Game #1484 · $2 ticket

    Back per $1
    55.9%
    you lose ~44¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.12
    per $2 ticket · net −$0.88

    Top prize chance: 2 of 5 $10K left · 1 in 410,750Any prize: 1 in 4.5065.6% sold

  55. #55

    Lucky Dog

    Game #1542 · $1 ticket

    Back per $1
    55.7%
    you lose ~44¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $0.56
    per $1 ticket · net −$0.44

    Top prize chance: 5 of 8 $1,000 left · 1 in 413,219Any prize: 1 in 4.5236.9% sold

  56. #56

    Bonus Card Bingo

    Game #1517 · $3 ticket

    Back per $1
    55.4%
    you lose ~45¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.66
    per $3 ticket · net −$1.34

    Top prize chance: 1 of 9 $20K left · 1 in 763,070Any prize: 1 in 3.8573.4% sold

  57. #57

    Cosmic Cash Lines

    Game #1498 · $3 ticket

    Back per $1
    54.6%
    you lose ~45¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.64
    per $3 ticket · net −$1.36

    Top prize chance: 1 of 10 $20K left · 1 in 738,459Any prize: 1 in 3.9872.9% sold

  58. #58

    Retro Slingo

    Game #1511 · $5 ticket

    Back per $1
    54.0%
    you lose ~46¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $2.70
    per $5 ticket · net −$2.30

    Top prize chance: 3 of 10 $50K left · 1 in 153,564Any prize: 1 in 3.9385% sold

  59. #59

    One Word Crossword

    Game #1506 · $3 ticket

    Back per $1
    47.1%
    you lose ~53¢ per $1
    Expected value
    $1.41
    per $3 ticket · net −$1.59

    Top prize chance: 1 of 18 $20K left · 1 in 1.18MAny prize: 1 in 4.1780.7% sold

Games no longer on sale (13), not ranked

These games have passed their end date, so stores no longer sell them. Winning tickets can still be claimed until the last day shown.

  • MONOPOLY 5X · #1471 · $1 · claim by 2026-11-29
  • Circle K Cash & Gas · #1524 · $2 · claim by 2027-03-28
  • FRIDA KAHLO® Viva La Vida · #1525 · $2 · claim by 2027-03-28
  • Cactus Crossword · #1444 · $5 · claim by 2027-02-28
  • MONOPOLY 20X · #1473 · $5 · claim by 2026-11-29
  • PAC-MAN · #1481 · $5 · claim by 2027-02-28
  • Lotería Grande · #1497 · $5 · claim by 2027-03-28
  • MONOPOLY 50X · #1474 · $10 · claim by 2026-11-29
  • Money Maker · #1476 · $10 · claim by 2026-11-29
  • $100,000 MAX · #1485 · $10 · claim by 2026-11-29
  • Bank On It · #1486 · $10 · claim by 2026-11-29
  • MONOPOLY 100X · #1475 · $20 · claim by 2026-11-29
  • Million Dollar Crossword · #1491 · $30 · claim by 2027-03-28

How it’s calculated

The Arizona Lottery publishes, for every game, each prize amount with how many were printed and how many are left, the odds of each prize and the overall odds (“1 in 3.47”). “Remaining” means not yet claimed. The Lottery does not publish how many tickets are still unsold, so we estimate it:

  1. Tickets printed ≈ overall odds × total prizes printed. This matches the Arizona Lottery’s published per-prize odds within 0.2%.
  2. Tickets remaining ≈ tickets printed × (small prizes still unclaimed ÷ small prizes printed). Small prizes, worth the ticket price or less, get cashed right away at any store, so they track sales. Games with no prize that small use their lowest prize.
  3. Cash value. Top prizes paid over time count at the cash amount the Arizona Lottery lists for them, 50% to 56% of the headline (a $5 million prize paid over 30 years is listed as $2.75 million). The final lump sum is set when the prize is claimed. Where the Lottery lists no cash amount, we use a conservative 50%.
  4. Jackpots capped at what sales suggest. “Remaining” really means not yet claimed. For prizes with fewer than 100 printed, we count no more than the share sales say is still unsold: if a game is 76% sold, we expect about a quarter of its jackpots to be left, even if more are listed. One sold-but-uncashed or lost jackpot ticket can’t inflate the number.
  5. Expected value = (each prize’s cash value × how many we count as left, added up) ÷ tickets remaining. Return per $1 = expected value ÷ ticket price. Net = expected value − price. Cards also show “Up to X%”: the figure if every listed jackpot is truly unsold, at face value.
  6. Odds now: any prize = tickets remaining ÷ prizes remaining; top prize = tickets remaining ÷ top prizes remaining.

Where it goes wrong. People hold winning tickets before cashing them, and some winners are lost or never claimed, so “remaining” prizes include ones already sold. That makes big prizes look more available than they are, worst near the end of a game, so games an estimated 90% or more sold are left out of the ranking and hidden by default. You can reveal them below the list, flagged “Nearly sold out · N% sold”; treat their numbers as unreliable. Brand-new games look less sold than they are, because small prizes take a few days to come in. Estimates this rough can’t separate games within about 1 point of each other: treat them as tied. And a statewide average says nothing about the roll at your store.

Warnings on the cards. Each card shows at most one warning, the most important that applies: over 100% on paper only, more jackpots listed than sales suggest, one jackpot claim swinging the number by 5 points or more, most of the value riding on a few jackpots, just launched, or all top prizes won. Tap it to see every caution for that game.

We rank only games still on sale. Games the Lottery has ended (or no longer lists) are left out, and so are games with prizes that have no fixed cash value, like free plays of another game. Prize data is refreshed from the Lottery a few times a day at most.

Questions

Which Arizona scratch ticket has the best odds right now?

By our estimate from Arizona Lottery prizes-remaining data as of Oct 7, 2026, 2:35 PM MST, $5,000,000 Luxe (Game #1480, $50) gives back the most per $1, about 78.2% at cash value, among games with reliable numbers. Games within about 1 point of each other are basically tied. The median ranked game returns about 68.2%. 1 nearly sold-out game is left out of the ranking because its numbers aren't reliable.

Do scratch tickets ever have positive expected value?

Almost never. Lotteries design instant games to pay back roughly 60% to 90% of sales. A figure above 100% comes from counting prizes paid over time at face value and every unclaimed jackpot as unsold. We count the cash option and cap jackpots at what sales suggest, so no ranked game comes out above 100%. Games an estimated 90% or more sold are hidden from the ranking by default because their numbers swing on a handful of tickets.

If a ticket shows over 100%, why not buy them all?

Take SET FOR LIFE (Game #1401). With every listed prize at face value it shows 92.7% on paper. About 0.9 million tickets are left, which would cost about $45.1M. Every prize still listed adds up to $41.8M at face value, but only about $36.8M as cash, because the biggest prizes are paid over many years or taken as a smaller lump sum. That's a loss of about $8.3M before tax, and tax makes it worse: big wins are taxed, and federal law now lets gamblers deduct only 90% of losses. You couldn't do it anyway: the tickets are spread across stores statewide, and some of the "remaining" jackpots may already be sold and sitting in someone's drawer. On our conservative basis it's 76.2%, ranked #5.

How do you estimate how many tickets are left?

Tickets printed are the overall odds times the total prizes printed. Small prizes (worth the ticket price or less) are cashed almost immediately, so the share of small prizes still unclaimed approximates the share of tickets still unsold. Expected value is the cash value of the remaining prizes, with jackpots capped at that same unsold share, divided by the estimated tickets remaining.

Does this include taxes?

By default prizes count at their cash value before tax. Top prizes paid over time count at the cash amount the Arizona Lottery lists for them, 50% to 56% of the headline (a $5 million prize paid over 30 years is listed as $2.75 million). The final lump sum is set when the prize is claimed. Where the Lottery lists no cash amount, we use a conservative 50%. The after-tax toggle then subtracts withholding: 2.5% Arizona on wins over $5,000, plus 24% federal on wins over $5,000. Withholding isn't your final tax bill.

Is this the official Arizona Lottery site?

No. Jackpot Dreaming is independent and not affiliated with the Arizona Lottery. Prize data comes from the Lottery's public prize data; check arizonalottery.com for official information.

59 games ranked · 1 nearly sold out (hidden) · 13 ended · median return 68% · source arizonalottery.com/scratchers